Hex
-6%
est. 2Y upside i
Collaborative data workspace for analytics SQL and Python notebooks
Rank
#2436
Sector
Enterprise Software
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumGiven the high preference overhang ($172M) on a $400M valuation and negative expected common return (-5.5%), this equity grant carries significant risk.
Last updated: July 21, 2026
Hex achieves IPO within 2 years, sustaining a 13.5x revenue multiple on projected $50.5M revenue, yielding a $682M exit. Common stock returns 108.6% after preference and dilution.
Revenue grows to $50.5M but multiple converges to 8x, inline with public comps. Exit value $404M, but preference stack of $172M erodes common returns to -13.25% after dilution.
Revenue growth disappoints or multiple compresses to 5x, resulting in $252.5M exit. After preference, common gets only $80.5M, yielding a -79.7% return after dilution.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
43%Total preferred stock of $172M implies a 43% preference overhang at the $400M valuation, meaning common equity value is only $228M.
Dilution Risk
moderateWith $70M raised in May 2025 and likely 2+ years of runway, a future raise is not imminent but possible, estimated 15% dilution over 2 years.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market transactions reported; shares are illiquid until an exit event.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Hex's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Hex plan to differentiate from Databricks and Snowflake as they expand into collaborative analytics?”
- 2
“What is the current annual recurring revenue growth rate and how does it vary by customer segment?”
- 3
“Given the $70M Series C, what is the expected timeline to profitability and what milestones trigger an IPO?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -6% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.