Workrise
+125%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#220
Sector
Human Capital Services
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: LowThe equity opportunity is highly risky with a probability-weighted 125% upside over 2 years, but the bear case (-100%) is likely.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
If Workrise achieves category leadership or IPO window opens, revenue multiple could expand to 1.5x, implying exit value ~$3.4B, but cap at +200% due to late-stage constraints.
Revenue grows to ~$2.27B by 2028, multiple converges to comp average ~1.0x, yielding exit value ~$2.27B. After 20% dilution, upside ~290%.
Exit value ($681M at 0.3x revenue) falls below $777M total funding, wiping out common equity due to 1x liquidation preference.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
14030%Total funding of $777M exceeds entry valuation of $553.5M, meaning in a liquidation, common shareholders would receive nothing.
Dilution Risk
highWith only $300M raised in 2021 and likely cash burn, a dilutive down round within 2 years is probable.
Secondary Liquidity
noneThe secondary market is likely illiquid given the distressed valuation and limited trading.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Workrise's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Workrise plan to achieve profitability given the cyclical nature of energy?”
- 2
“What is the company's strategy to differentiate from traditional staffing agencies?”
- 3
“Given the secondary market discount, what is the board's plan for liquidity and future fundraising?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +125% upside. What do you think?
Anonymous. Do not share material non-public information.
Community Discussion
Comments are reviewed before they appear publicly.
Loading comments...
Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.