+125%

est. 2Y upside i

Series D+

Rank

#220

Sector

Human Capital Services

Est. Liquidity

~2Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

The equity opportunity is highly risky with a probability-weighted 125% upside over 2 years, but the bear case (-100%) is likely.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (10%)+200%

If Workrise achieves category leadership or IPO window opens, revenue multiple could expand to 1.5x, implying exit value ~$3.4B, but cap at +200% due to late-stage constraints.

Base (50%)+290%

Revenue grows to ~$2.27B by 2028, multiple converges to comp average ~1.0x, yielding exit value ~$2.27B. After 20% dilution, upside ~290%.

Bear (40%)-100%

Exit value ($681M at 0.3x revenue) falls below $777M total funding, wiping out common equity due to 1x liquidation preference.

Est. time to liquidity~2.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

14030%

Total funding of $777M exceeds entry valuation of $553.5M, meaning in a liquidation, common shareholders would receive nothing.

Dilution Risk

high

With only $300M raised in 2021 and likely cash burn, a dilutive down round within 2 years is probable.

Secondary Liquidity

none

The secondary market is likely illiquid given the distressed valuation and limited trading.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Workrise's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Workrise plan to achieve profitability given the cyclical nature of energy?”

  • 2

    “What is the company's strategy to differentiate from traditional staffing agencies?”

  • 3

    “Given the secondary market discount, what is the board's plan for liquidity and future fundraising?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates +125% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.