Unit21
-92%
est. 2Y upside i
Anti-money laundering and fraud detection platform for fintech
Rank
#3723
Sector
Fintech, AI, Cybersecurity
Est. Liquidity
~4Y
Data Quality
Data: LowGiven the stale valuation and extremely high implied multiple of 77.7x on $8M revenue, the equity offers significant downside with a -91.6% expected return over 2 years.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Revenue reaches $18.6M by month 24, and the exit multiple holds at 15x (top of public comps) due to AI leadership and IPO window. Net upside after 20% dilution is -75.2%.
Revenue grows to $18.6M, multiple converges to 8x (mid of comps), resulting in a $148.5M exit value. After dilution, common stock loses 96% of value.
Revenue disappoints, exit multiple compresses to 3x, and implied exit value of $55.7M falls below the $92M preference stack. Common stock receives nothing.
Preference Stack Risk
moderateFunding Intensity
15%Total funding of $92M represents 14.8% of current valuation, a moderate preference overhang.
Dilution Risk
highWith $8M revenue and $92M funding, burn rate suggests a capital raise within 24 months, potentially diluting common shareholders 15-25%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity detected; staleness of valuation suggests illiquid.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Unit21's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Unit21's AI agent differentiation create a sustainable moat against incumbents like SAS and NICE Actimize?”
- 2
“What is the company's path to $100M ARR and how does the current $8M revenue base align with that?”
- 3
“Given the 2023 valuation, has the company considered a down round or secondary sale to reset expectations?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -92% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.