-11%

est. 2Y upside i

Series B

Rank

#2559

Sector

Mobile Gaming / Entertainment Software

Est. Liquidity

~5Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

With expected downside of -10.8% and high risk, joining Supercell as an employee with equity may not be favorable.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (15%)+37%

If Supercell's AI Innovation Lab yields a new hit or the company successfully acquires Metacore, revenue stabilizes at $2.8B and exit multiple expands to 5x, yielding 37% upside.

Base (40%)+10%

Revenue declines to $2.8B and multiple contracts to 4x in line with public comps, resulting in 10% upside.

Bear (45%)-45%

Revenue drops further due to competition and lack of new hits, multiple compresses to 2x, leading to a 45% loss.

Est. time to liquidity~5.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

low

Funding Intensity

140%

Preferred stock totals $143M, only 1.4% of current valuation, so common stock benefits are not heavily diluted by preference.

Dilution Risk

low

Supercell is profitable and generating cash, so no near-term dilution expected.

Secondary Liquidity

limited

No secondary trading data, but employees may have limited liquidity options through tender offers.

Live Games — 41 roles

View all 46 open roles at Supercell →

Last updated: February 22, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Supercell's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How will Supercell reverse its revenue decline?”

  • 2

    “What is the strategy for competing with generative AI-driven game development?”

  • 3

    “Given the stale valuation, how does the company think about secondary liquidity for employees?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -11% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.