-5%

est. 2Y upside i

Vertical SaaSSeries D+

Cloud supply chain platform for warehousing and fulfillment

Rank

#1986

Sector

E-commerce Logistics & Supply Chain Software

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Stord's equity presents high risk with negative expected return (-5%) over 2 years due to elevated valuation (20.4x ARR) and competition from Amazon.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (25%)+68%

Sustained growth and AI/IPO catalyst hold multiple at ~17x on projected $297M ARR, yielding 68% total return.

Base (40%)-11%

Multiple converges to ~9x as growth decelerates, resulting in -10.9% total return.

Bear (35%)-51%

Amazon competition and multiple compression to 5x give -50.5% total return; exit $1.485B above preference stack.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years
Adjusted for competitive dynamics: 2% (raw: -5%, adjustment: +7%)

Preference Stack Risk

high

Funding Intensity

2590%

Total funding $777M is 25.9% of $3B valuation, creating high preference overhang.

Dilution Risk

low

Series F raised May 2026 provides runway; additional dilution unlikely within 2 years.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market activity reported; liquidity likely only via IPO or acquisition.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Stord's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Stord plan to differentiate from Amazon's logistics services?”

  • 2

    “What are unit economics and path to profitability?”

  • 3

    “What is the expected timeline to liquidity and what percentage of company is owned by employees?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -5% upside. What do you think?

Anonymous. Do not share material non-public information.


Community Discussion

Comments are reviewed before they appear publicly.

0/2000

Loading comments...

Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.