Snyk
-41%
est. 2Y upside i
Developer security platform for finding and fixing vulnerabilities in code and dependencies
Rank
#3172
Sector
Cybersecurity
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: LowEquity upside is deeply negative (-40.5% probability-weighted) due to a 55% chance of bear scenario where common stock loses ~79% after preference liquidation.
Last updated: July 21, 2026
IPO in 2026 re-rates Snyk to 15x ARR ($5.36B exit). After 20% dilution, common equity returns 24.7% but probability is low (10%) given slowing growth and incumbent pressure.
Multiple converges to 12.5x on $357M ARR ($4.46B exit). After 20% dilution, common equity essentially flat. Growth deceleration and churn weigh on multiple.
Multiple compresses to 8x on $357M ARR ($2.86B exit). After preference ($1.32B) and 20% dilution, common equity recovers only $1.54B, a -78.5% loss.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
3570%$1.32B in preferred equity over $3.7B valuation (35.7% overhang), common stock is deeply subordinated.
Dilution Risk
highAssumed 20% dilution from likely down-round or IPO underpricing given slow growth and cash burn.
Secondary Liquidity
limitedNo public secondary market; occasional tender offers may provide limited liquidity at uncertain prices.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Snyk's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Snyk's developer-first approach defend against platform bundling from Palo Alto Networks and CrowdStrike?”
- 2
“What are the root causes of growth deceleration from 7% to lower, and what is the plan to re-accelerate?”
- 3
“Given the $1.32B preference stack and slow growth, how does the board think about employee equity outcomes in a bear case?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -41% upside. What do you think?
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Community Discussion
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.