Skild AI
-73%
est. 2Y upside i
At Skild AI, we are building the world's first general purpose robotic intelligence that is robust and adapts to unseen scenarios without failing. We believe massive scale through data-driven machine learning is the key to unlocking these capabilities for the widespread deployment of robots within society
Rank
#3860
Sector
Artificial Intelligence
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumThe equity offered by Skild AI carries substantial downside risk given a $14B valuation on only $30M revenue (467x multiple).
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Skild achieves category leadership in robotics AI with 120x exit multiple (above comp range) driven by data flywheel and strategic partnerships; revenue reaches $159M, exit value $19.1B, netting 16.3% upside after 20% dilution.
Multiple converges to 30x (top of comp range) as growth moderates; revenue $159M yields $4.8B exit value, a 65.9% loss before dilution and 85.9% after expected dilution.
Multiple compresses to 10x, exit value $1.6B below $1.8B total funding; common stock recovers nothing, resulting in total loss of equity value.
Preference Stack Risk
moderateFunding Intensity
13%1x non-participating preferred on $1.81B total funding; common stock subordinated in downside scenarios.
Dilution Risk
highCurrent $30M revenue may require additional funding within 24 months, diluting existing holders by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
activeSecondary market active with implied valuation $15.49B, providing potential liquidity for employees before IPO.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Skild AI's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Skild plan to achieve a sustainable competitive advantage against big tech incumbents like NVIDIA and Tesla in the robotics AI space?”
- 2
“What is the path to $1B+ revenue given the current $30M run-rate and high subscription margins?”
- 3
“What is the expected timeline and likelihood of secondary liquidity or IPO, and how does the company support early employees with equity management?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -73% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.