Sixfold AI

sixfold.ai →

-14%

est. 2Y upside i

InsurTechAI & MLSeries B

Rank

#2616

Sector

Insurtech, Artificial Intelligence

Est. Liquidity

~4Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

The 2-year expected upside is -13.5% after dilution, driven by a steep 20x ARR entry multiple and a severe $51.5M preference stack.

Last updated: August 3, 2026

Bull (30%)+42%

AI underwriting adoption accelerates with Tier-1 insurer wins; multiple holds at 12x on $20.2M ARR, implying a $243M exit. After 20% dilution, common upside is +41.9% (IPO window/category leadership supports multiple).

Base (50%)-12%

Revenue reaches $20.2M but the exit multiple converges to 8x, implying a $162M exit slightly above entry value. After 20% dilution, downside is -12.1% as the high entry multiple compresses.

Bear (20%)-100%

If adoption stalls or Guidewire competes aggressively, the multiple falls to 2x, leaving a $40.5M exit value below the $51.5M liquidation preference; common stock is worthless.

Est. time to liquidity~4.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

34%

$51.5M of liquidation preference equals 34% of the $150M valuation; below that exit common recovers nothing.

Dilution Risk

high

Series B runway likely less than 24 months; a follow-on round could dilute existing shareholders ~20%.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary-implied value provided; no employee liquidity or tender-offer evidence.

Other — 2 roles

View all 2 open roles at Sixfold AI →

Last updated: February 22, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Sixfold AI's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How many months of runway does the $30M Series B provide, and what ARR target is needed before the next raise?”

  • 2

    “What is the current ARR exit run-rate and net revenue retention since the Sep-2025 disclosure?”

  • 3

    “What is the current 409A common-stock fair value relative to the $150M valuation, and has there been any employee secondary tender offer?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -14% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.