-9%

est. 2Y upside i

Series D+

Rank

#2492

Sector

Business Intelligence

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

Given the stale $1B valuation from 2020, significant competitive threats from Big Tech, multiple layoffs, and a severe $391M preference overhang, the expected equity upside over 2 years is approximately -8.5% (after diluting 20pp for a likely raise).

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (10%)+35%

IPO window or category leadership sustains a 4x multiple on $388M revenue, yielding $1.55B exit. However, incumbent threat and stale valuation cap this probability at 10%.

Base (45%)+16%

Multiple converges to 3.5x (midpoint of comps) on $388M, giving $1.36B exit. 32.7% growth offsets some competitive pressure, but dilution erodes gains.

Bear (45%)-42%

Multiple compresses to 2x due to Big Tech competition and slowing growth, yielding $776M exit. Preference overhang leaves little for common, and dilution deepens losses.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

39%

Total funding of $391M represents 39% of the $1B valuation, creating a severe preference overhang that diminishes common equity value.

Dilution Risk

high

With no new funding since 2020 and negative cash flow indicated by layoffs, a dilutive round within 24 months is highly probable.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary trading data available; employees likely have no liquidity options.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Sisense's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Sisense plan to differentiate its embedded analytics from Microsoft Power BI's free offering?”

  • 2

    “With 32.7% growth but 75% gross margin, what is the path to profitability and cash flow breakeven?”

  • 3

    “Given the 2020 valuation and no recent round, what is the current share price for new option grants?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -9% upside. What do you think?

Anonymous. Do not share material non-public information.


Community Discussion

Comments are reviewed before they appear publicly.

0/2000

Loading comments...

Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.