-9%

est. 2Y upside i

Media & Comms

Rank

#2519

Sector

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia

Est. Liquidity

~2Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Given the high probability (40%) of bear case with ~43% downside and expected value of -9.4%, the equity compensation may not be attractive.

Last updated: July 21, 2026

Bull (10%)+53%

Multiple holds at 8x driven by IPO window and category leadership in metaverse; projected revenue $7.47B yields $59.8B exit value.

Base (50%)+5%

Multiple converges to 5.5x inline with public gaming comps; exit value $41.1B.

Bear (40%)-43%

Multiple compresses to 3x due to safety headwinds, competition from Epic/Minecraft, and slowing growth; exit value $22.4B.

Est. time to liquidity~2.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

low

Funding Intensity

0%

No preferred stock outstanding; total funding is null.

Dilution Risk

low

No anticipated equity dilution from new funding rounds.

Secondary Liquidity

active

Secondary market provides liquidity at $39.14B valuation.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on roblox's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Roblox plan to maintain user engagement amid safety-related age verification changes?”

  • 2

    “What is the path to profitability given the 24% gross margin?”

  • 3

    “How does the equity compensation compare to public company options, given liquidity risk?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -9% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.