-23%

est. 2Y upside i

Vertical SaaS

Software to accelerate construction by finding issues in 3D BIM

Rank

#3942

Sector

Construction Technology

Est. Liquidity

~5Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

Resolve is a high-risk equity bet where nearly every measurable signal cuts against a positive 2-year outcome: 9 employees after 12 years, zero disclosed revenue or valuation, no primary fundraise on record since at least 2022, and dominant incumbents actively competing in the same space.

Last updated: May 5, 2026

Bull (10%)+250%

AI Spatial Assist drives rapid ARR acceleration in 2026-2027 and attracts a strategic acquirer (Autodesk, Hexagon, or Trimble) at a 4-6x revenue multiple within 2 years. If the preference stack is modest and the enterprise customer list (Bayer, Mortenson, Anglian Water) commands a strategic premium, common equity could yield ~250% upside on the current grant price.

Base (40%)-20%

Resolve grows slowly as a niche BIM-VR tool, adding enterprise logos but remaining sub-scale against Autodesk's distribution, with no liquidity event in the 2-year window. A future primary fundraise to fund the AI roadmap dilutes current grants 15-25%, leaving equity holders slightly negative on a 2-year basis.

Bear (50%)-80%

Autodesk and Revizto absorb the VR-BIM niche natively into their platforms, compressing Resolve's growth and forcing a distressed sale or wind-down by 2028. Common stock equity is largely wiped out as liquidation preferences absorb residual proceeds ahead of employees.

Est. time to liquidity~5.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

moderate

Funding Intensity

0%

Total funding is undisclosed with only a secondary transaction on record from August 2022; if prior VC rounds exist they would create liquidation preferences ahead of common equity, but the absence of named institutional investors and the small team size suggest a modest or largely bootstrapped preference stack.

Dilution Risk

high

With only 9 employees and an AI product expansion requiring significant engineering and go-to-market hiring, future primary capital raises are highly likely and would materially dilute current equity grants.

Secondary Liquidity

none

As a 9-person private company with no disclosed institutional backers and no active secondary market presence, employee shares are effectively illiquid until a formal liquidity event occurs.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Resolve's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How does Resolve's Wellington Engine sustain a technical moat as Autodesk integrates VR and AI natively into Construction Cloud — and what specific capabilities on the 18-month roadmap would be prohibitively expensive for Autodesk to replicate?

  • 2

    What is the current ARR, net revenue retention rate, and average contract value, and does the company have sufficient runway to reach profitability or will a primary fundraise be required within the next 24 months?

  • 3

    What is the fully-diluted cap table structure including total liquidation preferences outstanding, and what specific liquidity event — M&A, secondary tender, or IPO — is leadership targeting and on what timeline?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -23% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.