-52%

est. 2Y upside i

FinTechIPO

Open-source, design centric software for interacting with blockchains

Rank

#3297

Sector

Fintech

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

The equity upside is severely negative with a -52% expected return over 2 years, driven by a preference overhang that exceeds the current secondary valuation, critical competition from incumbents, and declining revenue.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (10%)+34%

Exit multiple expands to 8x due to successful token staking adoption and a favorable IPO window, yielding $26.96M exit value. Even after 20% dilution, upside is 34%.

Base (45%)-24%

Exit multiple converges to 5x, in line with public fintech comps, yielding $16.85M exit value. After dilution, downside is -23.7%.

Bear (45%)-100%

Exit multiple compresses to 2x, yielding $6.74M, below the $22.5M preference stack. Common stock value is wiped out, resulting in -100% return.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

12860%

Total preferred liquidation preference of $22.5M exceeds the secondary implied valuation of $17.5M, meaning common stock is currently worthless on a liquidation basis.

Dilution Risk

high

With low revenue and high burn, subsequent rounds likely cause significant dilution.

Secondary Liquidity

moderate

RNBW token is listed and traded, providing some liquidity, but with limited depth and high volatility.

Other 1 role

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Last updated: March 10, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Rainbow's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How do you plan to differentiate Rainbow from MetaMask and Phantom given their dominant market share?

  • 2

    What is the unit economics of your transaction fee model, and how do you plan to grow revenue beyond swaps?

  • 3

    How should I think about equity value given the preference stack and recent token price decline?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -52% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.