-72%

est. 2Y upside i

AI & MLSeed

Radical AI is reinventing the way materials science is done and designing new materials for the world's needs. Through the integration of artificial intelligence, engineering, materials science, and applied research, we are changing the way materials are designed, developed, and discovered. In doing so we are tackling the world's most pressing problems.

Rank

#243

Sector

Materials Science AI

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

Radical AI presents a moderate upside opportunity for a job seeker, driven by its strong competitive moat in AI-driven materials discovery and significant early traction with government contracts.

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Bull (32%)+350%

Radical AI's autonomous materials lab and AI-driven platform achieve significant breakthroughs, leading to the rapid discovery and commercialization of several high-value materials for critical sectors like clean energy and aerospace. Key partnerships with government agencies and large enterprises expand, pushing revenue to over $200M by 2028 and justifying a valuation of $684M (4.5x current) as a market leader in a rapidly expanding TAM.

Base (43%)+100%

The company successfully develops and commercializes its initial materials discovery platform, securing a steady stream of subscription revenue and a few strategic manufacturing partnerships. Growth is solid but faces some competition from existing R&D labs and emerging players. Revenue reaches approximately $100M by 2028, leading to a valuation of $304M (2x current) at a Series B or C round, offering a fair return on equity.

Bear (25%)-75%

Development of the autonomous lab and AI platform proves more challenging and costly than anticipated, or dominant incumbents like large chemical companies or defense contractors accelerate their own AI materials R&D, eroding Radical AI's competitive edge. Growth stalls, and the company struggles to secure follow-on funding, leading to a down round or acquisition at a significantly reduced valuation of $38M, wiping out most common-stock value due to the substantial liquidation preferences.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Investors hold $55M in liquidation preferences ahead of common stock on a $152M valuation, representing 36.2% of the company's current value.

Dilution Risk

high

As a Seed+ stage company, significant future dilution is expected through subsequent funding rounds (Series A, B, C, etc.).

Secondary Liquidity

limited

Accredited investors can purchase Radical AI shares on the secondary market through platforms like Premier Alternatives.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Radical AI's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “Given the 'medium' incumbent threat, how does Radical AI plan to maintain its strong competitive moat against large chemical and materials companies that could eventually invest in similar AI-driven R&D platforms?”

  • 2

    “With the opening of the autonomous materials lab and plans for expansion into Europe and Asia by late 2026, what are the key milestones and metrics the company is prioritizing to demonstrate accelerated materials discovery and revenue growth over the next 12-24 months?”

  • 3

    “Considering the $55M in total funding on a $152M valuation, how does Radical AI envision the path to a liquidity event for employees, and what are the company's strategies to manage potential dilution in future funding rounds?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -72% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.