Radai
-88%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#3672
Sector
Healthcare AI / Radiology Software
Est. Liquidity
~4Y
Data Quality
Data: LowDespite strong market position and high growth, the current valuation of $525M implies a 39x multiple on stale $13.4M ARR, far above public SaaS comps (8-12x), leading to negative expected equity upside (-88%) over 2 years.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
IPO window and category leadership sustain high multiple (~15x). Revenue reaches $19.7M, exit value $295M, but after 20% dilution and preference, common equity returns -63.8%.
Multiple converges to public comps (~10x). Revenue $19.7M yields $197M exit, after dilution and preference common returns -82.6%.
Multiple compresses to 6x, exit $118M below $158M preference stack, common stock recovers 0%. Incumbent Microsoft/Nuance intensifies competition.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
117910%Total preferred stock of $158M is 30% of current valuation, creating significant overhang for common equity.
Dilution Risk
highWith $60M raised in Jan 2025 and negative profitability, a future raise within 24 months is probable, diluting common by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market exists; employee equity is illiquid until a liquidity event (IPO or acquisition).
Engineering — 6 roles
- Senior Software Engineer, Full Stack - Reporting · San Francisco
- Senior Software Engineer, Infrastructure · United States
- Software Engineer, Infrastructure (All Levels) · San Francisco
- +3 more →
General & Administrative — 1 role
- Revenue Accounting Manager · United States
Implementations — 1 role
- Senior Implementation Engineer · United States
ML & Data — 1 role
- Staff ML Research Scientist · San Francisco
Sales — 1 role
- Regional Vice President of Sales · United States
Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Radai's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How do you plan to differentiate from Microsoft's Nuance integration into PowerScribe given their 80% market share?”
- 2
“What is the unit economics (LTV/CAC) and how does it evolve with scale?”
- 3
“Given the negative expected equity return, what is the typical dilution and liquidity timeline for employees?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -88% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.