Rackspace
-10%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#2541
Sector
Cloud Computing / IT Services
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumGiven the negative expected upside (-10%) and high probability of bear case (55%), this equity grant carries substantial downside risk.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Cloud infrastructure deal with AMD and potential IT spending rebound could boost revenue; exit multiple expands to 1.2x, yielding +90% gross upside, net 70% after 20pp dilution.
Revenue stabilizes at ~$2.58B; exit multiple converges to 0.8x (comp low end), yielding +26.6% gross upside, net 7% after dilution.
Competitive pressure from hyperscalers continues, revenue declines further; exit multiple compresses to 0.5x, yielding -20.9% gross, net -41% after dilution; high debt refinancing risk.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
44%Total funding of $721M represents 44% of current valuation, creating a severe preference overhang that reduces common stock proceeds in exits below $1.45B.
Dilution Risk
highGiven $2.48B debt maturing 2028 and CCC+ rating, a dilutive equity or convertible raise is probable within 2 years.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity detected; liquidity likely only via IPO or acquisition.
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Last updated: March 10, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Rackspace's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How would you drive revenue growth in the face of hyperscale competition?”
- 2
“What is our strategy to reduce debt and improve credit rating?”
- 3
“How does the AMD deal fit into the broader go-to-market strategy?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -10% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.