Provi
-41%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#3131
Sector
B2B E-commerce, Alcohol Industry
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: LowThe equity upside over a 2-year horizon is deeply negative due to the high entry valuation ($1.01B) relative to projected revenue.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Exit multiple holds at 20x driven by successful IPO or category leadership, yielding $1.18B exit. After 20% dilution, common stock returns -2.8%.
Exit multiple declines to 12x converging toward high-growth public comps, yielding $710M exit. After 20% dilution, common returns -49.7%.
Exit multiple compresses to 6x due to increased competition or slowing growth, yielding $355M exit. After $139M preference and 20% dilution, common returns -84.9%.
Preference Stack Risk
moderateFunding Intensity
1380%Total funding of $139M represents 13.8% of current valuation; non-participating preferred shares have $139M liquidation preference.
Dilution Risk
moderateGiven low capital intensity and potential need for growth capital, a 20% dilution over 2 years is assumed.
Secondary Liquidity
activeSecondary market transactions have occurred, providing some liquidity but not guaranteed.
Customer Operations — 1 role
- Technical Support Specialist · Chicago, IL
Distributor Business — 1 role
- Distributor Account Manager · Chicago, IL
Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Provi's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Provi's data moat protect against distributor-owned platforms like Southern Glazer's Proof?”
- 2
“What is the unit economics (take rate and customer lifetime value) of your largest distributor relationships?”
- 3
“Given the secondary market valuation at $1.01B, how do you think about equity liquidity and value creation for employees?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -41% upside. What do you think?
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Community Discussion
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.