Probably Genetic

probablygenetic.com →

+106%

est. 2Y upside i

Healthcare

Patient Intelligence Platform for Genetic Disease

Rank

#395

Sector

HealthTech

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Probably Genetic offers a risky but potentially high-reward equity opportunity.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (25%)+220%

If the IPO window opens and Probably Genetic scales contracts with drug developers, revenue could reach $7.5M with an 8x multiple, yielding 220% net upside after 20% dilution.

Base (55%)+100%

Revenue grows to $7.5M with a 5x multiple, common stock appreciates 100% net of dilution, aligning with public comp multiples.

Bear (20%)-20%

Revenue stagnates, multiple compresses to 2x, and dilution erodes value; common stock experiences -20% net return, though preference stack limits downside for common to $4.1M.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

7270%

Total funding of $10.9M represents 72.7% of the $15M valuation, meaning preferred shareholders would receive the majority of proceeds in a sale up to $10.9M.

Dilution Risk

high

With no declared profits and a burn rate likely exceeding $1M/year, a new round within 24 months is probable, diluting common holders by ~20%.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No recent secondary transactions or liquidity events reported.

Engineering — 3 roles

Marketing — 1 role

View all 4 open roles at Probably Genetic →

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Probably Genetic's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Probably Genetic's sponsored testing model differ from traditional diagnostic lab partnerships, and what are the unit economics?”

  • 2

    “What is the sales cycle length and customer acquisition cost for signing a new pharmaceutical partner?”

  • 3

    “As an early employee, how do you think about the preference stack and its impact on common stock value in a potential exit?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates +106% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.