Physna
+52%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#952
Sector
Enterprise Software
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumPhysna offers a high-risk, high-potential equity opportunity.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Bull case: IPO window or category leadership drives exit multiple to 9x, yielding ~$399M exit. After 20% dilution, upside ~180%.
Base case: Multiple converges to 7x, in line with comps, exit ~$310M. After dilution, upside ~132.5%.
Bear case: Multiple contracts to 4x, exit ~$177M; after preference stack (1x on $112.6M) common recovers ~$64.8M, then 20% dilution yields -67.3% return.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
92%Preferred stock has 1x liquidation preference on $112.6M, representing 91.6% of the current valuation, leaving little residual value for common in a downside exit.
Dilution Risk
highGiven high burn and no profitability, a subsequent round within 2 years is likely, potentially diluting common by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary sales observed; liquidity events are uncertain.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Physna's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Physna plan to defend against Autodesk's entry into geometric search?”
- 2
“What is the unit economics and path to profitability given the high growth and burn?”
- 3
“How does the equity structure (preference stack) impact employee common stock value in a down-round scenario?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +52% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.