Paladin
+100%
est. 2Y upside i
We deploy autonomous drones to 911 calls. Our software gives first…
Rank
#446
Sector
Public Safety Drone Technology
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumPaladin has a moderate expected upside of ~100% over 2 years, but faces high risk from regulatory hurdles and need for additional capital.
Last updated: July 20, 2026
Strong revenue growth to $25M+ by 2028 and exit multiple expansion to 5x if Paladin achieves category leadership in DFR and an IPO window opens, yielding a $126M market cap, a 223% gain for the company (pre-dilution).
Revenue grows to $25M by 2028 and exit multiple converges to 3x in line with public comps (AVAV, KTOS, LHX), yielding a $76M company value, a 94% gain (pre-dilution).
Growth disappoints due to incumbent competition or regulatory hurdles, multiple compresses to 2x, resulting in a $51M exit, a 29% gain (pre-dilution), but preference stack limits common upside further.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
81%Total funding of $31.7M vs. $39.2M valuation implies preferred shares hold 81% of equity, leaving common with ~19%.
Dilution Risk
highThe company filed to raise an additional $18M, which could dilute common by 15-25%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary transactions reported; no liquidity for employees.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Paladin's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Paladin plan to navigate FAA BVLOS regulations in a post-DJI world?”
- 2
“What are the unit economics of a typical DFR contract? What is the recurring vs. one-time revenue split?”
- 3
“What is the current option pool size and has the board discussed a 409A refresh?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +100% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.