Oxygen
-61%
est. 2Y upside i
A leading digital bank in the US offering personal and business…
Rank
#3396
Sector
Fintech
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: LowGiven the pivot, lack of growth data, and severe preference overhang (86% of valuation), the expected equity upside is strongly negative at -61%.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Assumes IPO window allows 7x multiple on flat revenue; but 20% dilution erodes gains, resulting in modest loss.
Multiple converges to 4.5x; flat revenue and 20% dilution lead to significant downside.
Multiple compresses to 2x; preference stack of $53.4M wipes out common equity entirely.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
86%Total funding of $53.4M represents 86% of the $62.1M valuation, so common equity is highly subordinated.
Dilution Risk
highWith no growth and high burn, a down round or significant dilution is likely within 2 years.
Secondary Liquidity
limitedSecondary implied valuation is same as last round, but activity likely low.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Oxygen's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Oxygen plan to differentiate in the health-finance niche vs competitors?”
- 2
“What is the revenue trajectory post-pivot, and what milestones indicate growth?”
- 3
“Given the high preference stack, what is the likely outcome for common shareholders in a sale?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -61% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.