Oportun
-27%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#2897
Sector
Fintech
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumGiven the negative revenue growth (-4.5% YoY) and high preference overhang ($538M on a $262M valuation), the expected equity upside over 2 years is -26.7%.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Revenue stabilizes at ~$957M, multiple expands to ~1.1x as turnaround succeeds, yielding common value of $524M after preferred. Upside capped at 100% per stage constraint.
Revenue declines to ~$872M, multiple improves to 0.75x, exit value $654M, common gets $116M after $538M pref, upside 44.3%.
Revenue declines to $800M, multiple compresses to 0.3x, exit value $240M below $538M preferred, common stock worthless.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
205%Total preferred stock of $538M far exceeds the $262M common valuation, creating a 205% overhang that requires a large exit for common to recover value.
Dilution Risk
lowCompany is profitable and not expected to raise capital in the next 2 years, so dilution is minimal.
Secondary Liquidity
moderateThere is a recent secondary market indication ($262M valuation), suggesting some liquidity, but volume may be limited for employees.
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Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Oportun's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How would you help Oportun reverse its revenue decline and gain market share against incumbents?”
- 2
“How sustainable is the loan origination model given rising defaults?”
- 3
“What is your required return on equity and how does this grant compare to a public company offer?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -27% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.