Northwood
-15%
est. 2Y upside i
Northwood is a modern space infrastructure company focused on connecting space and Earth. The world runs on space. Space will run on Northwood. Our global ground network ensures that missions ranging from national security, to global connectivity, to disaster response can unlock their full potential and operate every day without fail.
Rank
#2656
Sector
Aerospace and Defense
Est. Liquidity
~5Y
Data Quality
Data: LowEquity upside is highly uncertain due to missing financial data.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Space Force contract drives revenue to $50M, and IPO window allows multiple to stay at 18x, yielding $900M exit (125% upside gross; net ~62% after 20% dilution).
Revenue reaches $40.5M, exit multiple decays to 6x (in line with comps, $243M), a 39% decline from entry, after dilution net -50%.
Revenue disappoints or competition intensifies; exit multiple collapses to 3x ($122M), below preference stack of $142M, common stock worthless.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
3550%Total funding of $142M is 35.5% of estimated entry valuation, giving preferred stockholders a large liquidation preference ahead of common.
Dilution Risk
highWith high capital intensity and only $100M just raised, a future down round or up round within 24 months is likely, diluting common by ~20-30%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market transactions reported; likely no liquidity for employees until a liquidity event.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Northwood's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does the company's phased array technology provide a sustainable edge over Inmarsat or BlueHalo?”
- 2
“What are the key milestones for the Space Force contract and how does it impact revenue growth?”
- 3
“What is the company's cash runway and what is the plan for future funding?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -15% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.