MySQL
+6%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#1914
Sector
Database Software
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: LowGiven the stale valuation, high competitive threats, and lack of recent financial data, the expected upside over 2 years is modest (~6%).
Last updated: July 3, 2026
MySQL's legacy install base and enterprise subscription growth drive an IPO-ready multiple of 6x revenue, yielding exit value $544M. After 20% dilution, 130% upside.
Multiple converges to 4x revenue on $91M projected revenue, exit $363M. After 20% dilution, 47% upside.
Competitive pressure compresses multiple to 1.5x revenue, exit $136M. After preference liquidation, common holder receives $98M, resulting in -76% downside after dilution.
Preference Stack Risk
moderateFunding Intensity
1690%Total preferred liquidation preference of $38M represents 17% of estimated entry valuation, creating moderate overhang.
Dilution Risk
highWith $38M total funding and $75M revenue, the company may need to raise additional capital within 2 years, diluting common stock by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity or liquidity options for employees.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on MySQL's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How would you position MySQL against the rise of PostgreSQL and cloud-native databases?”
- 2
“What is the current revenue split between community and enterprise subscriptions?”
- 3
“What is the expected timeline to liquidity, and does the company facilitate secondary sales for employees?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +6% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.