Mural Health
+149%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#151
Sector
Clinical Trial Technology
Est. Liquidity
~5Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumMural Health offers high potential upside (~149% expected 2-year return) driven by its innovative platform and market expansion, but severe preference overhang, stale valuation, and high dilution risk make it a high-risk equity bet.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Above-trend growth, strong market adoption, and potential IPO window support an 8x multiple on $10M revenue, yielding $80M exit; net of dilution, upside 365%.
Revenue reaches ~$10M with 30-40% growth, multiple improves to 5x in line with public comps, yielding $50M exit; net of 20% dilution, upside 183%.
Even with modest revenue growth to $10M, a compressed 2x multiple yields $20M enterprise value, below $20.7M preference stack, implying -100% return for common equity.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
125%Total funding of $20.7M exceeds the $16.5M entry valuation, creating a $4.2M preference overhang; in a low exit, common stock is fully wiped out.
Dilution Risk
moderateWith $5.5M ARR and estimated burn, a future round (20% dilution) is likely within 2-3 years.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity observed; shares are illiquid.
Other — 4 roles
- Customer Experience Specialist · Remote
- Customer Success Manager · Remote
- Events Coordinator · Remote - US
- +1 more →
Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Mural Health's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Mural Health defend against incumbents like Oracle Clinical or Medidata?”
- 2
“What is the company's strategy for achieving profitability given the high preference stack?”
- 3
“How do you evaluate the residual risk of equity compensation given the current valuation staleness?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +149% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.