-87%

est. 2Y upside i

RoboticsSeries C

Matic is reimagining the next generation of fully autonomous, helpful, and elegant home robots using AI and computer vision. Level-5 autonomy in your home. Our flagship product, Matic, is a remarkably smart, proactive, and secure floor-cleaning robot that uses photo-realistic vision with precise 3D mapping to provide a home with perpetually clean floors.

Rank

#3668

Sector

Consumer Robotics

Est. Liquidity

~4Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Given the extreme entry valuation of 25x ARR and a preference stack that consumes 25.7% of the company, the expected common stock return over 2 years is highly negative (~-87%) even in optimistic scenarios.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (10%)+24%

If Matic accelerates growth to 40% YoY through smart home integrations and maintains a 15x revenue multiple due to IPO window, common stock could return 23.7%.

Base (50%)-98%

Assuming steady growth and multiple compressing to 5x (high end of public comps), exit value barely exceeds preference, resulting in near-total loss for common stock.

Bear (40%)-100%

Multiple compresses to 2x due to competitive pressure, exit below liquidation preference, common stock is worth zero.

Est. time to liquidity~4.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

high

Funding Intensity

2569%

Total preferred funding of $167M represents 25.7% of the current $650M valuation, giving preferred a 1x liquidation preference that must be cleared before common receives any proceeds.

Dilution Risk

moderate

Given $167M total funding and $60M recent raise, additional financing likely within 2 years; estimated 20% dilution.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market activity indicated.

Other — 1 role

View all 1 open roles at Matic →

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Matic's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Matic's vision-only navigation provide a sustainable competitive advantage over lidar competitors like Roborock?”

  • 2

    “What is the company's path to profitability given the high hardware costs and current 25% growth rate?”

  • 3

    “Given the preference stack, how does the company think about structuring equity grants for employees to ensure fair value?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -87% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.