Lively, Inc.
+16%
est. 2Y upside i
Modern employee benefits & health savings account (HSA) provider
Rank
#1691
Sector
Fintech, Healthtech
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: LowLively offers moderate expected upside (16%) over 2 years, driven by exceptional growth but tempered by high incumbent risk and a severe preference stack (40.5% of valuation).
Last updated: July 19, 2026
IPO window opens by 2027, multiple holds at 18x on $69M revenue forecast. Category leadership in HSA tech drives expansion, delivering 2.6x return net of 20% dilution.
Multiple converges to public comp range of 7x on $69M revenue. Growth moderates to ~80% YoY. Net return after 20% dilution is 26%.
Multiple compresses to 3x, exit value $207M. Preference stack absorbs $147M, leaving $60M for common, a 83% loss before 20% dilution. Incumbent competition intensifies.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
4050%Total preferred funding of $147M represents 40.5% of current $363M valuation, creating severe overhang for common stock in a downside exit.
Dilution Risk
moderateNo raise in over 4 years increases likelihood of a dilutive round within 24 months; assume 20% dilution.
Secondary Liquidity
moderateSecondary market exists (source of current valuation), but employee access to tenders is limited and likely restricted until a liquidity event.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Lively, Inc.'s data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Lively plan to differentiate from HealthEquity and Fidelity given their resources?”
- 2
“What is the revenue split between subscription fees and investment management fees?”
- 3
“What is the expected timeline to an IPO and what would trigger secondary liquidity for employees?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +16% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.