Liquid AI
-37%
est. 2Y upside i
Liquid AI is a developer of AI applications that help improve human experience. It focuses on researching and developing tools that use artificial intelligence to improve creative workflows and help clients manage their workflow efficiently.
Rank
#3063
Sector
Artificial Intelligence
Est. Liquidity
~4Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumGiven the extremely high current valuation multiple (119x ARR) and the expected multiple compression, the probability-weighted expected return is -36.9% over two years.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
If Liquid AI capitalizes on the IPO window and maintains premium multiples due to its unique edge AI position, a 80x forward revenue multiple yields $4.31B exit, 83.5% upside.
Multiple convergence to public comps (15x) with moderate growth results in $808M exit, a 65.6% loss.
Multiple compression to 3x and revenue shortfall lead to exit below $297M preference stack, common stock worth zero.
Preference Stack Risk
moderateFunding Intensity
13%Total funding $297M represents 12.6% of current valuation, a moderate overhang.
Dilution Risk
lowRecent $250M raise provides ample runway, no near-term dilution expected.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market trades reported; equity is illiquid.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Liquid AI's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Liquid AI's edge-first strategy differentiate from cloud-based competitors like OpenAI?”
- 2
“What is the company's path to profitability and free cash flow breakeven?”
- 3
“Given the high valuation, what are the key milestones to justify a higher exit multiple?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -37% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.