Lattice
-58%
est. 2Y upside i
Modern people management platform.
Rank
#3368
Sector
HR Software
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: LowGiven the negative expected return (-57.7%) and high risk, this equity grant is unattractive.
Last updated: July 21, 2026
If an IPO window opens and Lattice capitalizes on category leadership, revenue multiples could hold at 20x, yielding a 38.3% total return, but after 20% dilution, net upside of 18.3%.
As multiples converge toward public comps (10x), projected revenue of $207.5M gives a 30.8% decline, net -50.8% after dilution.
Multiple compression to 5x and potential market share loss to incumbents result in a 65.4% decline, net -85.4% after dilution, though exit value exceeds total funding, so common stock is not wiped out.
Preference Stack Risk
moderateFunding Intensity
1107%Total funding of $332M is 11.1% of entry valuation, so preferred stack is moderate.
Dilution Risk
highLast round was 4.5 years ago, and burn rate suggests a financing within 2 years, diluting common by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity reported.
Other — 18 roles
- Account Executive - SMB · Remote, PST
- Director, IT Business Systems · Remote - US
- Lead Brand & Production Designer · Remote - US
- +15 more →
Last updated: March 10, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Lattice's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“What is the current annual recurring revenue growth rate and how has it trended over the past 12 months?”
- 2
“How does Lattice differentiate from Workday and SAP SuccessFactors in the mid-market segment?”
- 3
“Given the 2023 layoffs and product pivots, what is the company's path to profitability and expected cash runway?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -58% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.