-71%

est. 2Y upside i

FinTechSeries A

Rank

#3506

Sector

Fintech / HRtech

Est. Liquidity

~5Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

The equity offer from Jump carries significant downside risk: expected return of -71% over 2 years due to stale valuation, high preference stack ($16.5M vs 35M entry), and intense competitive threats from incumbents.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (10%)-17%

In a bull case, exit multiple expands to 7x on $5.15M revenue, yielding $36M enterprise value. After 20% dilution, common shares see -17% return; requires strong market adoption and IPO window.

Base (45%)-54%

Base case exit multiple of 4.5x on $5.15M revenue gives $23.2M exit. Dilution reduces return to -53.8%, reflecting preference stack and competitive pressure.

Bear (45%)-100%

Bear case exit multiple compresses to 2.5x, yielding $12.9M exit—below total funding of $16.5M, so common stock is wiped out by liquidation preference.

Est. time to liquidity~5.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

47%

Total funding of $16.5M represents 47% of assumed entry valuation ($35M), creating severe preference overhang.

Dilution Risk

high

Flat growth and 22 months since last round imply a high likelihood of a down round or significant dilution within 24 months.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market activity detected; no implied secondary valuation available.

Engineering 2 roles

Finance 1 role

Go-To-Market 1 role

Product 1 role

View all 5 open roles at Jump

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Jump's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How does Jump plan to differentiate against global EOR giants expanding into France?

  • 2

    What is the unit economics and customer acquisition cost for freelancers?

  • 3

    What is the company's current burn rate and expected timeline for next funding round?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -71% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.