Jump
-71%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#3506
Sector
Fintech / HRtech
Est. Liquidity
~5Y
Data Quality
Data: LowThe equity offer from Jump carries significant downside risk: expected return of -71% over 2 years due to stale valuation, high preference stack ($16.5M vs 35M entry), and intense competitive threats from incumbents.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
In a bull case, exit multiple expands to 7x on $5.15M revenue, yielding $36M enterprise value. After 20% dilution, common shares see -17% return; requires strong market adoption and IPO window.
Base case exit multiple of 4.5x on $5.15M revenue gives $23.2M exit. Dilution reduces return to -53.8%, reflecting preference stack and competitive pressure.
Bear case exit multiple compresses to 2.5x, yielding $12.9M exit—below total funding of $16.5M, so common stock is wiped out by liquidation preference.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
47%Total funding of $16.5M represents 47% of assumed entry valuation ($35M), creating severe preference overhang.
Dilution Risk
highFlat growth and 22 months since last round imply a high likelihood of a down round or significant dilution within 24 months.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity detected; no implied secondary valuation available.
Engineering — 2 roles
- Join the Jump Engineering Talent Pool · Remote (US)
- Senior iOS Engineer · Remote (US)
Finance — 1 role
- Accountant · Remote (US)
Go-To-Market — 1 role
- Join the Jump Go-To-Market Talent Pool · Remote (US)
Product — 1 role
- Join the Jump Product & Design Talent Pool · Remote (US)
Last updated: March 10, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Jump's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Jump plan to differentiate against global EOR giants expanding into France?”
- 2
“What is the unit economics and customer acquisition cost for freelancers?”
- 3
“What is the company's current burn rate and expected timeline for next funding round?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -71% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.