-76%

est. 2Y upside i

Series A

Rank

#3544

Sector

Cryptocurrency/Blockchain

Est. Liquidity

~2Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

This equity offer has a high probability of being worthless due to a $33M preference stack against a $5.8M common valuation and the departure of the founding team to Base.

Last updated: July 21, 2026

Bull (10%)+136%

Token market cap reaches $50M driven by renewed privacy demand and strategic partnerships, allowing common shares to recover after preference. Net of 20% dilution, common upside is +136%.

Base (55%)-100%

Token market cap remains below $33M liquidation preference ($10M expected), giving common stock $0 value. No recovery from current depressed valuation.

Bear (35%)-100%

Further decline in token price to near zero due to team departure and regulatory headwinds, common stock worthless.

Est. time to liquidity~2.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

573%

Total preferred funding $33M dwarfs current market cap $5.8M, leaving common stock deeply underwater.

Dilution Risk

moderate

Given minimal runway since 2021, a down round would dilute common significantly.

Secondary Liquidity

active

IRON token trades on some exchanges, providing liquidity for vested tokens.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Iron Fish's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How does Iron Fish plan to attract developers and users after the core team's acquisition?

  • 2

    What is the current token revenue model and what metrics are used to measure network adoption?

  • 3

    Given the high preference stack, how do you evaluate the potential dilution and liquidity for employee equity?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -76% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.