+138%

est. 2Y upside i

CybersecuritySeries B

Rank

#164

Sector

Cybersecurity, Fraud Prevention

Est. Liquidity

~4Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

Incognia offers a high-risk, high-reward equity opportunity.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (30%)+300%

With strong growth and potential IPO, Incognia could maintain its current multiple of 12.5x or expand to 15x, yielding a $960M exit, but capped at 300% upside per stage constraint. Key drivers: IPO window and category leadership.

Base (45%)+105%

Multiple compresses to 6x inline with public peers, exit $384M, net of 20% dilution yields ~105% upside.

Bear (25%)+2%

Multiple compresses to 3x due to incumbent pressure or growth slowdown, exit $192M, minimal upside after dilution.

Est. time to liquidity~4.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

31%

$46.5M in total funding equals 31% of estimated $150M valuation, meaning preferred shareholders hold significant claims.

Dilution Risk

high

Likely need to raise additional capital within 24 months, resulting in ~20% dilution for common holders.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market activity detected; equity likely illiquid until exit.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Incognia's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Incognia plan to achieve profitability given high growth and potential dilution?”

  • 2

    “What is the company's strategy to compete against incumbents like LexisNexis with deep data assets?”

  • 3

    “What is the expected timeline for an exit event (IPO or acquisition) and how does that align with equity liquidity?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates +138% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.