incident.io

incident.io

-7%

est. 2Y upside i

DevOps & InfraSeries B

Incident management and response platform with built-in status pages

Rank

#2402

Sector

Developer Tools

Est. Liquidity

~2Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

The expected 2-year equity upside is -6.8%, with high risk and medium confidence.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (30%)+139%

Revenue grows to $19M, IPO window opens driving multiple expansion to 50x. Valuation reaches $956M, a 139% gain.

Base (45%)-52%

Multiple compresses to 10x as company matures, valuation drops to $191M, a 52% loss.

Bear (25%)-100%

Multiple compresses to 5x, exit valuation $95.6M below $96.2M in preference, common stock worthless.

Est. time to liquidity~2.0 years
Adjusted for competitive dynamics: -5% (raw: -7%, adjustment: +2%)

Preference Stack Risk

high

Funding Intensity

24%

Total funding of $96.2M vs $400M valuation means preferred stockholders hold a 24% claim, ranking ahead of common in liquidation.

Dilution Risk

low

Recent $62M Series B in April 2025 provides ample runway, making additional dilution unlikely within 2 years.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary transaction data available; liquidity expected only through an exit event.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on incident.io's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How does incident.io's AI differentiator create a sustainable moat against PagerDuty?

  • 2

    What is the primary driver for customer growth — new logos or expansion within existing accounts?

  • 3

    Given the high multiple on current revenue, what is the expected timeline to an IPO or secondary sale, and what are the milestones?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -7% upside. What do you think?

Anonymous. Do not share material non-public information.


Community Discussion

Comments are reviewed before they appear publicly.

0/2000

Loading comments...

Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.