+35%

est. 2Y upside i

HealthcareSeries D+

Rank

#1773

Sector

Healthcare Technology

Est. Liquidity

~0Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Oscar Health offers a moderate expected upside of 35% over 2 years, with significant downside risk from incumbent competition.

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Bull (25%)+109%

Multiple expands to 2.5x driven by continued technology leadership and market share gains, revenue reaches $8.04B. Implies market cap ~$20.1B.

Base (30%)+50%

Multiple converges to 1.8x as growth normalizes, revenue reaches $8.04B, market cap ~$14.5B.

Bear (45%)-16%

Multiple compresses to 1.0x due to increased competition from UnitedHealth and Centene, revenue growth disappoints, market cap ~$8.0B.

Est. time to liquidity~0.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

low

Funding Intensity

32%

Public company; no preferred overhang.

Dilution Risk

low

Profitable with credit facility, unlikely to issue equity in near term.

Secondary Liquidity

active

NYSE listed, shares are freely tradable.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Hioscar's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    How will Oscar defend against UnitedHealth's scale and provider network advantage?

  • 2

    How does the +Oscar platform contribute to revenue and differentiation?

  • 3

    What is your view on dilution risk given over $3B in historical funding?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates +35% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.