Heap
-38%
est. 2Y upside i
Digital insights platform with automatic event tracking and analytics
Rank
#3184
Sector
Product Analytics Software
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: LowGiven a stale valuation, missing growth metrics, and acquisition uncertainties, the 2-year equity outlook is negative with a -38% expected return.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
AI CoPilot and strong demand sustain a 13.9x multiple. Revenue grows 20% YoY to $99.6M in 24 months, yielding a $1.325B exit. Common shares (post-preference) rise 49%.
Multiple compresses to 6x (public comp average). Revenue grows to $95.5M, exit value $573M. After $216M preference, common recovers $357M, a 52% loss.
Growth slows, multiple falls to 4x. Exit value $382M. Common receives $166M after preference, a 78% loss from entry common value.
Preference Stack Risk
highFunding Intensity
2250%Total funding of $216M represents 22.5% of the $960M valuation, meaning preferred stock has a significant claim on exit proceeds.
Dilution Risk
lowNo further dilutive raises anticipated due to acquisition by Contentsquare, which likely provides capital support.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market exists; equity is illiquid until an exit event (e.g., parent IPO or sale).
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Heap's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Heap's automated capture create a defensible moat against Amplitude and Mixpanel?”
- 2
“What is the current revenue growth trajectory and how has it changed post-acquisition?”
- 3
“With Contentsquare acquisition, what is the integration plan and how does it affect employee equity liquidity?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -38% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.