-54%

est. 2Y upside i

Series B

Personalized Performance Nutrition

Rank

#1584

Sector

Personalized Sports Nutrition

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: High

Gainful presents a moderate upside opportunity for a job seeker, with an estimated 62% expected upside over a two-year horizon.

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Bull (30%)+200%

Gainful successfully leverages its personalized approach, 1:1 dietitian support, and retail presence (like Target) to capture significant market share in the rapidly growing personalized nutrition sector, reaching $50M+ in revenue by 2028 and justifying a $360M valuation at 7x revenue.

Base (40%)+50%

Gainful continues steady growth, maintaining its niche with personalized offerings and dietitian support, reaching ~$25M in revenue by 2028 and achieving a $180M valuation, reflecting a modest multiple expansion as it prepares for a future funding round or strategic acquisition.

Bear (30%)-60%

Increased competition from large incumbents and well-funded startups, coupled with slower-than-expected market adoption, leads to stalled growth at ~$15M revenue and a down round to $48M, significantly impacting common stock value due to existing liquidation preferences.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

high

Funding Intensity

22%

Investors hold $26M in liquidation preferences ahead of common shareholders, representing 21.66% of the current valuation.

Dilution Risk

moderate

As a Series B company, further funding rounds are likely before an exit, which will dilute existing equity holders.

Secondary Liquidity

none

There is no indication of an active secondary market for Gainful's shares at this stage.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Gainful's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    Given the increasing competition from both established CPG companies and emerging personalized nutrition startups, how does Gainful plan to strengthen its competitive moat beyond its current personalization and dietitian support?

  • 2

    With the recent expansion into Target and partnerships like Eden and Recharge, what are the key metrics the company is tracking to measure the success of these initiatives and how do they contribute to the projected revenue growth towards a potential Series C or exit?

  • 3

    As a Series B company with a notable preference stack, how does Gainful envision the path to a liquidity event for common shareholders, and what steps are being taken to ensure meaningful returns for employees holding equity?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -54% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.