Four Growers
-86%
est. 2Y upside i
Robots that feed the world - robotic harvesting and analytics
Rank
#3933
Sector
AgTech
Est. Liquidity
~5Y
Data Quality
Data: LowThe equity upside for a job candidate is deeply negative (-86% expected) under these assumptions due to a stale and likely overstated valuation, severe preference overhang (55% of valuation), and high risk from incumbents.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Exit multiple expands to 10x on projected $3.5M revenue due to IPO window and category leadership, yielding exit value $35M. Common receives $18.6M residual after $16.4M preference, vs $13.6M entry common value.
Exit multiple converges to comp range of 1.5x, exit value $5.25M. Below total funding of $16.4M, common recovers approximately -100%.
Exit multiple compresses to 0.5x, exit value $1.75M, well below preference. Common stock is worthless.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
63080%Total funding of $16.4M is 55% of the estimated $30M entry valuation, resulting in severe preference overhang that leaves common stock deeply subordinate.
Dilution Risk
lowWith $16.4M total funding and modest burn rate, a near-term raise is unlikely within 24 months, so dilution risk is low.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity indicated; no information on tender offers or share repurchase programs.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Four Growers's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How do you plan to defend against John Deere's entry into greenhouse robotics?”
- 2
“What are the unit economics of your RaaS model, and how do you expect margins to evolve?”
- 3
“Given the preference stack, how does the company think about employee equity value and retention?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -86% upside. What do you think?
Anonymous. Do not share material non-public information.
Community Discussion
Comments are reviewed before they appear publicly.
Loading comments...
Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.