Forage
-48%
est. 2Y upside i
Payments infrastructure for government benefits
Rank
#3679
Sector
Fintech
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumForage's equity offers highly uncertain upside; the current valuation of $225M implies expectations of continued hypergrowth.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Forage maintains a 30x revenue multiple driven by IPO window or expansion into WIC/HSA processing, yielding a $480M exit value. After 20% dilution, 93.4% upside.
Multiple compresses to 8x as growth normalizes, resulting in $128M exit value. After 20% dilution, 63.1% downside.
Multiple falls to 3x due to competitive pressure from Fiserv/FIS, exit value $48M below $75M preference, common stock worthless.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
3330%Total funding of $75M represents 33% of current $225M valuation, creating a severe preference overhang that renders common stock worthless in a down-round or low exit.
Dilution Risk
highWith $75M in funding and 71 employees, the burn rate may necessitate a down-round or significant dilution within 2 years, especially if growth disappoints.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity reported; employee shares likely illiquid until a liquidity event.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Forage's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Forage plan to maintain its USDA approval advantage against Fiserv and FIS?”
- 2
“What is the revenue split between transaction fees and SaaS, and how do unit economics scale?”
- 3
“Given the high valuation, what is the expected timeline to liquidity (IPO/acquisition) and how will employee equity be structured in future rounds?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -48% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.