-27%

est. 2Y upside i

RoboticsAI & MLSeries A

Rank

#2882

Sector

Robotics, Artificial Intelligence

Est. Liquidity

~5Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Given the high current valuation (20x revenue) and likely multiple compression to public comp levels (5-10x), the expected 2-year return is -27.1%.

Last updated: July 21, 2026

Bull (30%)+38%

If IPO window opens and FieldAI maintains its growth premium, a 15x multiple on $213M revenue yields $3.15B, but 20% dilution from a follow-on raise reduces net upside to 37.5%.

Base (45%)-36%

Multiple converges to 8x on $213M revenue ($1.68B), plus 20% dilution results in -36% return. Despite strong growth, valuation compression dominates.

Bear (25%)-89%

Severe multiple compression to 3x ($630M) and dilution from funding need lead to -88.5% return, but liquidation preference of $405M protects preferred, leaving common with minimal recovery.

Est. time to liquidity~5.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

high

Funding Intensity

2025%

Total funding $405M represents 20.25% of current valuation, indicating high preference overhang.

Dilution Risk

high

Given $314M raised in Aug 2025 and fast cash burn, a follow-on round within 24 months is likely, causing 15-25% dilution.

Secondary Liquidity

none

No secondary market data available; liquidity likely limited to primary rounds or exit.

View all 6 open roles at Fieldai →

Last updated: July 3, 2026

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Fieldai's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does FieldAI plan to defend against incumbents like NVIDIA and Google DeepMind entering the field robotics space?”

  • 2

    “What is the typical contract value and renewal rate for your software licenses, and how does the hybrid hardware-software model impact margins?”

  • 3

    “What is the expected timeline to an IPO or acquisition, and how does the current preference stack affect common stock value?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -27% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.