Duffel
-77%
est. 2Y upside i
Any business – from travel startups to financial enterprises - can build with Duffel to search and book flights, stays add ancillaries, charge customers, manage orders and more.
Rank
#3923
Sector
Travel Technology
Est. Liquidity
~4Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumDuffel operates in a large travel tech market with a compelling API-first approach, evidenced by partnerships with major airlines and tech platforms like Rippling.
Last updated: March 10, 2026
Duffel successfully scales its transaction-based revenue model, leveraging key partnerships like Rippling and major airlines to drive significant GMV through its platform. Revenue accelerates to $50M+ by 2028, justifying a $450M+ valuation at a 9x+ revenue multiple as the company proves its monetization strategy and market leadership in modern travel distribution.
Duffel continues to grow its platform adoption and expand partnerships, but faces ongoing pressure from incumbents and slower-than-expected monetization. Revenue reaches $15M-$20M by 2028, leading to a modest valuation increase to $195M, which still represents a high multiple given the competitive landscape.
Duffel struggles to convert its platform adoption into substantial revenue, with the low transaction fees proving insufficient to cover high operating costs. Incumbents like Amadeus and Travelport effectively counter Duffel's NDC advantage, leading to slower growth and a down round to $37.5M or lower, significantly eroding common stock value due to the $56.4M liquidation preference.
Preference Stack Risk
severeInvestors hold $56.4M in liquidation preferences ahead of common stock on an assumed $150M valuation.
Dilution Risk
highAs a Series B company actively considering future funding, there is a high likelihood of additional rounds leading to further dilution.
Secondary Liquidity
limitedPre-IPO shares can be traded on secondary markets like UpMarket for accredited investors, but liquidity is not active for all employees.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Duffel's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“Given the significant market presence of established GDS players like Amadeus and Travelport, how does Duffel plan to differentiate and capture market share beyond its current NDC and API-first advantages, especially as incumbents also evolve their offerings?”
- 2
“The reported 2023 revenue of ~$455,000 seems very low for a company that has raised $56.4M and has major partnerships. Can you elaborate on the company's current revenue model, its growth trajectory since 2023, and how it plans to scale monetization to justify its funding?”
- 3
“With the last funding round in 2019 and the company 'actively considering options' for future fundraising, how does Duffel envision the timeline for a potential liquidity event (IPO or acquisition) and what are the company's plans to manage potential employee equity dilution from future rounds?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -77% upside. What do you think?
Anonymous. Do not share material non-public information.
Community Discussion
Comments are reviewed before they appear publicly.
Loading comments...
Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.