Drata
-31%
est. 2Y upside i
Security and compliance automation platform for continuous monitoring
Rank
#3492
Sector
Cybersecurity
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumExpected equity value declines ~31% over 2 years due to high entry multiple (20x ARR) and dilution risk.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Assuming IPO window opens, Drata could exit at a 15x forward revenue multiple on projected $194M ARR, yielding ~26% net upside after 20pp dilution. This scenario carries a 30% probability.
Exit multiple converges to 9x (lower end of public comps) on $194M ARR, resulting in -13% gross and -33% net after dilution. This 30% probability reflects competitive pressure and normal market conditions.
Exit multiple compresses to 5x due to market saturation or macro headwinds, yielding -52% gross and -72% net after dilution. With 40% probability, common stock recovers near zero despite preference not triggering.
Preference Stack Risk
highFunding Intensity
16%Total liquidation preference of $328M represents ~16% of entry valuation, indicating significant overhang for common holders if exit is below ~$2.5B.
Dilution Risk
moderateNo recent fundraising and a $250M acquisition in 2025 suggest a capital need within 2 years, potentially diluting existing holders by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
moderateSecondary implied valuation of $2.23B indicates some liquidity, but it is not an active market for employee shares.
Sales — 5 roles
- Enterprise Account Executive - Bay Area · Hybrid - San Francisco
- Sales Development Manager - Commercial · Hybrid - San Francisco
- Sales Development Representative, Enterprise - New York · Hybrid - New York
- +2 more →
Engineering — 4 roles
- Senior AI Engineer · Remote - US
- Senior Applied AI Engineer · Remote - US
- Senior Software Engineer II · Hybrid - San Francisco
- +1 more →
Customer Success — 3 roles
- Manager, Renewals & Account Management - EMEA · Hybrid - London
- Senior Enterprise Solutions Architect - East Coast · Remote - US
- Senior Manager, Enterprise Customer Success - US Central · Remote - US
People Operations — 3 roles
- Director, People Operations · Remote - US
- Senior HRBP - GTM · Remote - US
- Senior People Operations Specialist · Remote - US
Business Development — 2 roles
- Inside Channel Account Manager · Remote - US
- Senior Audit Alliances Manager, EMEA · Remote - EMEA
Product — 1 role
- Product Manager III · Hybrid - San Francisco
Last updated: March 10, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Drata's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Drata plan to differentiate from legacy GRC incumbents like Archer and OneTrust?”
- 2
“What is the company's path to profitability and cash flow breakeven?”
- 3
“Given the 2022 round valuation, how do you think the current equity grant aligns with the next round's pricing?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -31% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.