Density
-80%
est. 2Y upside i
Density helps companies measure and improve their footprint on the world. Its software unlocks comprehensive insights into how workspace is used through its privacy-first sensors. These insights inform workplace decisions at companies ranging from Fortune 1000 to high growth tech, including Uber, Pinterest, Shopify, Okta and other household names in financial services, e-commerce and social networking.
Rank
#3899
Sector
PropTech
Est. Liquidity
~2Y
Data Quality
Data: LowThe equity upside for a job candidate is deeply negative with high probability.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Bull scenario assumes 6x exit multiple (~$271M) driven by IPO window or market leadership. Common recovers due to exit value above preference stack, yielding 100% upside after cap and dilution.
Base scenario: exit at 2x revenue (~$90M) remains below $225M liquidation preference, resulting in zero recovery for common stock.
Bear scenario: exit at 1x revenue (~$45M) well below preference, common stock worthless.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
24700%Total funding of $225M carries 1x liquidation preference, which is 2.5x the current secondary valuation of $91M, making common equity effectively worthless in most exit scenarios.
Dilution Risk
highWith limited growth visibility and no profitability, a down-round or further funding is likely, diluting common significantly.
Secondary Liquidity
limitedSecondary market priced common at $91M, but liquidity is thin and the price has declined 91% from prior analysis.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Density's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Density plan to compete against incumbents like Cisco and Siemens given their existing hardware bases?”
- 2
“What is the path to gross margin improvement and profitability given the hybrid hardware/software model?”
- 3
“Given the substantial preference stack, what is the board's plan to align common equity incentives with the current valuation?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -80% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.