Daybreak Health
-60%
est. 2Y upside i
The first digital mental health system for youth
Rank
#3386
Sector
Digital Health
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumDownside risk dominates given stale valuation, negative revenue momentum, and high incumbent threat.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Revenue holds at $15M, exit multiple expands to 5x on IPO or category leadership, driving exit valuation to $75M. After preference and dilution, common sees 5% upside.
Revenue flat at $15M, exit multiple compresses to 4x, exit $60M. After preference and dilution, common returns -32.5%.
Revenue declines further, exit multiple falls to 2.5x, exit $37.5M. Preference stack absorbs most value; after dilution, common loses 88.75%.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
38%Total funding of $25M represents 38.5% of entry valuation, giving preferred a large claim.
Dilution Risk
highWith high burn and potential for down round, 20% dilution is assumed.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market or tender offer reported.
Other — 37 roles
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- AAMFT - Work with students, fully remote! · Virginia- Remote
- +34 more →
Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Daybreak Health's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does the company plan to reverse revenue decline and compete against well-funded incumbents like Hazel Health and Brightline?”
- 2
“What is the current burn rate and timeline to breakeven?”
- 3
“What is the path to liquidity (M&A or IPO) given the current market conditions?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -60% upside. What do you think?
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Community Discussion
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.