+216%

est. 2Y upside i

CybersecuritySeries D+

Rank

#41

Sector

Cybersecurity

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: High

Cyera offers asymmetric upside for a job candidate, with a probability-weighted expected return of 216% over two years.

Last updated: July 19, 2026

Bull (25%)+100%

Cyera capitalizes on AI tailwinds and category leadership, exiting at 12x forward revenue on $5.0B, delivering 100% upside (capped per late-stage constraint).

Base (55%)+300%

Steady growth and convergence to public comp multiples (10x) yield $50.4B exit, netting 300% upside after 20% dilution.

Bear (20%)+132%

Incumbent pressure from Microsoft and Palo Alto compresses multiples to 6x, resulting in $30.2B exit and 132% upside.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

high

Funding Intensity

186%

Non-participating preferred stock totals $2.3B, representing 19% of the $12B valuation, creating a high preference overhang for common stock.

Dilution Risk

high

Given $2.3B total funding and high cash burn, a future raise within 18-24 months is likely, subtracting ~20% from returns.

Secondary Liquidity

limited

No secondary implied valuation was provided, suggesting limited active secondary market for employee shares.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Cyera's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does Cyera maintain its 95%+ classification accuracy against evolving AI models?”

  • 2

    “What is the unit economics of customer acquisition across different deployment sizes?”

  • 3

    “How would you evaluate employee equity refresh grants against the $12B valuation upside?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates +216% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.