Cresta
-11%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#2560
Sector
Customer Experience AI
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: MediumCresta offers a speculative equity opportunity with a negative expected return (-11%) over a 2-year horizon due to high preference stack, dilution risk, and fierce incumbent competition.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
AI tailwind and potential IPO window expand multiple to 8x on $193M revenue, yielding $1.54B valuation. Net of 20% dilution, upside is 65.4%.
Multiple converges to 5x, valuation $965M. After 20% dilution, return is slightly negative at -4.2%.
Multiple compresses to 3x due to incumbent competition and market slowdown, valuation $579M. After 20% dilution and preference stack, common stock suffers a 50.5% loss.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
3380%Total funding of $282M represents 33.8% of the $833M valuation, creating a severe preference overhang.
Dilution Risk
highWith $125M raised in November 2024 and no profitability, a follow-on round is likely within 2 years, potentially diluting existing holders by ~20%.
Secondary Liquidity
moderateSecondary market transactions at $833M valuation indicate moderate liquidity for employees, but program availability is uncertain.
Other — 94 roles
- Accountant · United States (Remote)
- AI Deployment Manager · Australia (Remote)
- AI Deployment Manager · United States (Remote)
- +91 more →
Last updated: September 6, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Cresta's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Cresta differentiate its unified AI platform from bundled offerings by NICE and Genesys?”
- 2
“What is the net dollar retention and expansion rate among top customers, and how does it vary by segment?”
- 3
“What is the company's roadmap to liquidity, and are there any secondary sale programs for employees?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -11% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.