Coiled
-46%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#3212
Sector
Developer Tools
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: LowEquity in Coiled carries high risk due to stale valuation, declining headcount, and strong competitive pressure.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Multiple expands to 20x on IPO excitement; exit value $45.8M, common shares recover $19.8M after $26M preference, yielding 375% return before dilution.
Multiple converges to 12x, exit value $27.5M minimally above preference, common recovers $1.5M, resulting in -62.5% before dilution.
Multiple compresses to 8x, exit $18.3M below $26M preference, common stock fully wiped out.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
0%$26M preferred liquidation preference accounts for 87% of assumed $30M valuation, heavily diluting common.
Dilution Risk
highNo funding since 2021; likely forced raise at lower valuation, diluting common by 20%+.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market activity detected; liquidity dependent on exit.
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Coiled's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Coiled differentiate from Databricks in enterprise adoption?”
- 2
“What is the path to profitability given current burn and headcount trends?”
- 3
“How does the employee equity pool interact with the $26M preference stack?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -46% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.