-77%

est. 2Y upside i

Series B

Rank

#3980

Sector

GovTech, Election Technology

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

Clear Ballot operates in a critical, highly regulated GovTech niche with a modern product and demonstrated regional customer adoption.

Last updated: March 10, 2026

Bull (10%)+150%

Clear Ballot's modern, EAC-certified ClearVote system gains significant traction in key states, displacing legacy systems due to its transparency and ease-of-use. Strong adoption of the 'Election as a Service' model drives revenue to $30M+ by 2028, leading to an acquisition at a $125M valuation (2.5x current).

Base (45%)+30%

Clear Ballot continues to grow steadily in existing markets, securing new county contracts and expanding its vote-by-mail and audit solutions. Revenue reaches $16M-$18M by 2028, maintaining its niche but struggling to significantly challenge dominant incumbents, resulting in a modest valuation increase to $65M.

Bear (45%)-70%

Dominant incumbents like ES&S and Dominion leverage their established relationships and resources to stifle Clear Ballot's expansion. High regulatory hurdles and intense competition limit new customer acquisition, leading to slower-than-expected growth or even stagnation. A down round or acquisition at a distressed valuation of $15M (70% below current) would wipe out most, if not all, common stock value due to the severe liquidation preferences.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Investors hold $18M in liquidation preferences, representing 36% of the estimated $50M current valuation.

Dilution Risk

high

Given the last funding round was in 2017, further funding rounds are likely needed, posing a high risk of additional dilution.

Secondary Liquidity

none

There is no indication of active secondary markets or tender offers for Clear Ballot shares.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Clear Ballot's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    Given that Election Systems & Software, Dominion Voting Systems, and Hart InterCivic control nearly 90% of the election technology market, what is Clear Ballot's specific strategy to displace these dominant incumbents and achieve significant market share gains?

  • 2

    Clear Ballot's revenue is estimated at $12M. What is the company's detailed plan for accelerating revenue growth beyond regional successes and scaling its 'Election as a Service' offering to capture a larger portion of the $194M SAM, especially considering the high regulatory barriers?

  • 3

    With the last institutional funding round being Series B in 2017 and a significant liquidation preference for existing investors, how does Clear Ballot envision its path to a liquidity event (e.g., IPO or acquisition) within the next 2-4 years, and what steps are being taken to ensure meaningful returns for common stock holders?

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -77% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.