-88%

est. 2Y upside i

Series A

Stage: exit. Country: Germany

Rank

#4048

Sector

Daily Deals

Est. Liquidity

~1Y

Data Quality

Data: Medium

This analysis is a retrospective evaluation of Citydeal's equity opportunity, assuming a job seeker was evaluating an offer just prior to its acquisition by Groupon in May 2010, with a valuation of $126M.

Last updated: February 23, 2026

Bull (15%)+100%

Acquisition by Groupon at a premium, followed by strong performance of Groupon stock post-IPO within the two-year horizon.

Base (40%)0%

Acquisition by Groupon at the stated valuation, with Groupon stock performing moderately over the two-year horizon.

Bear (45%)-50%

Acquisition by Groupon, but Groupon stock performs poorly, or the acquisition terms were less favorable for common equity holders.

Est. time to liquidity~0.5 years

Preference Stack Risk

moderate

Funding Intensity

5%

Investors provided $7M in funding. At the $126M valuation, this represents 5.5% of the company's value, indicating a moderate preference stack where investors would have received their initial investment back before common shareholders in a liquidation event at or below the valuation.

Dilution Risk

moderate

Given the acquisition by Groupon, future dilution risk for Citydeal equity holders would have been tied to Groupon's capital raises and stock performance, rather than Citydeal's independent funding rounds.

Secondary Liquidity

limited

None for Citydeal as a standalone entity. However, after the acquisition, equity holders who received Groupon stock would have gained secondary liquidity upon Groupon's IPO in November 2011.

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates -88% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.