Censys
+26%
est. 2Y upside i
Rank
#1474
Sector
Cybersecurity
Est. Liquidity
~3Y
Data Quality
Data: LowCensys presents a moderate upside opportunity with estimated 26% expected return over 2 years, driven by a strong moat and market demand.
Last updated: July 19, 2026
Bull case assumes 15x exit multiple on $83M revenue ($1.245B exit), driven by a favorable IPO window and category leadership in internet intelligence. Net upside after 20% dilution is 87.5%.
Base case assumes 11x exit multiple on $83M revenue ($913M exit), converging to the public comp range. Net upside after 20% dilution is 32%.
Bear case assumes 6x exit multiple on $83M revenue ($498M exit) due to multiple compression from competitive pressure. Net upside after 20% dilution is -37%, with preference stack remaining subordinate at this exit level.
Preference Stack Risk
highFunding Intensity
25%Total funding of $149M represents 24.8% of estimated $600M valuation, creating a high preference overhang that could reduce common equity returns in a moderate exit.
Dilution Risk
highWith estimated $52M revenue and no profitability, a Series E round within 2 years is probable, likely diluting common stock by 15-25%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary market is indicated; liquidity will likely only occur upon acquisition or IPO.
Other — 11 roles
- Community & Social Media Manager · Remote (US)
- Senior Backend Engineer (Exposure Management) · Remote (US/Canada)
- Senior Backend Engineer, Core Services · Remote (US/Canada)
- +8 more →
Last updated: February 22, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Censys's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How does Censys plan to differentiate from Shodan as it scales into attack surface management?”
- 2
“What is the timeline to profitability and how does the subscription model drive revenue growth?”
- 3
“How does the equity package address potential dilution and what is the expected timeline for an exit?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates +26% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.