+500%

est. 2Y upside i

Healthcare

Rank

#6

Sector

Healthcare & Life Sciences

Est. Liquidity

~3Y

Data Quality

Data: Low

The equity offer appears astronomically undervalued due to a stale 2021 valuation mark, producing a +1369% expected upside if the company's true market value is recognized.

Last updated: August 21, 2026

Bull (25%)+200%

Projected revenue of $155.5M (28% growth, decaying) supports a 9x forward multiple, valuing the company at $1.4B and implying a 31x return on the $43.5M entry. Per Series C+ stage constraints, the reported upside is capped at +200% to temper the extreme optimism from the stale 2021 valuation.

Base (55%)+2045%

Revenue reaches $155.5M and the exit multiple compresses to 6x, in line with public comps, yielding a $933M valuation — a 20.5x return. This assumes a fresh funding round corrects the outdated $43.5M mark and that the company continues on its 28% growth trajectory.

Bear (20%)+972%

Revenue growth slows to ~15% and the multiple falls to 3x, valuing the company at $466.5M, still above the $145M preferred liquidation stack, leaving common stock with $321.5M in proceeds. This is a 9.7x company-level return, but the actual common recovery is beset by preference overhang and illiquidity.

Est. time to liquidity~3.0 years

Preference Stack Risk

severe

Funding Intensity

33333%

Total funding of $145M is 3.3x the current $43.5M valuation, meaning preferred shareholders hold liquidation preferences far exceeding the company's worth.

Dilution Risk

low

The company is profitable with $110M revenue, and the latest round in Dec 2024 should provide ample runway; no significant dilution expected in the 2-year horizon.

Secondary Liquidity

none

There is no secondary market for private shares and no IPO signals, making liquidity highly uncertain.

Questions to Ask at the Interview

Strategic questions based on Carestack's data — designed to show you've done your homework.

  • 1

    “How does CareStack plan to deploy the $60M raised in Dec 2024, and when can we expect the next formal valuation mark?”

  • 2

    “With revenue at $110M and profitability, what is the company's capital allocation strategy — will it raise, acquire, or focus on organic growth?”

  • 3

    “Can you outline the option pool size and historical dilution, and how a potential future round might affect employee ownership over the next 2-3 years?”

Community

Valuation Sentiment

Our model estimates +500% upside. What do you think?

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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.