Carbonfact
-5%
est. 2Y upside i
Decarbonizing the fashion industry
Rank
#2425
Sector
Climate Tech
Est. Liquidity
~4Y
Data Quality
Data: LowGiven the stale valuation mark and high incumbent threat, the expected 2-year equity return is negative (-5.4%) with significant downside risk.
Last updated: July 3, 2026
Holds current 12x multiple due to successful IPO filing or market leadership, exit at $99.6M. After 20% dilution, employee shares worth 79% gain.
Multiple converges to public comp average of 8.5x, exit at $70.6M. Net of dilution, 21% gain.
Multiple compresses to 5x, exit at $41.5M. After preference liquidation preference of $17.1M, common stock recovers $24.4M, losing 71% including dilution.
Preference Stack Risk
severeFunding Intensity
417%Total preferred liquidation preference of $17.1M represents 34% of estimated entry valuation ($50M), meaning common stock is at risk in a downside exit.
Dilution Risk
highSeries A was over 2 years ago; company may need Series B, diluting existing holders by 15-25%.
Secondary Liquidity
noneNo secondary trading reported; equity is illiquid until an exit event.
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Last updated: March 10, 2026
Questions to Ask at the Interview
Strategic questions based on Carbonfact's data — designed to show you've done your homework.
- 1
“How do you plan to defend against incumbents like SAP and Salesforce entering fashion carbon management?”
- 2
“What's your path to profitability and future fundraising?”
- 3
“How do you value equity given the stale round and no secondary market?”
Community
Valuation Sentiment
Our model estimates -5% upside. What do you think?
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Disclaimer: This analysis is AI-generated and does not constitute financial or career advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.